• Telorand@reddthat.com
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      9 months ago

      The point is nobody can know that with any certainty. All these preliminary graphs are helpful to campaign strategists, but do you know the number of Uncommitted voters who will ultimately hold their nose and vote for Biden anyway? Or who will change their mind completely? I certainly don’t.

      Sending a message in the primary ≠ doing the strategic thing in the general.

      • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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        9 months ago

        The point is nobody can know that with any certainty.

        Well we still have to make decisions and decide strategy in the face of uncertainty. Its a yes or no question that I asked, and you can answer it with a yes or a no.

        Do you think Biden can stick with his current approach to Gaza and Israel and win the general election?

        • Telorand@reddthat.com
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          9 months ago

          There’s a third answer: I don’t know. That’s my answer.

          If your plan is strategy, it doesn’t matter what my opinion is. Assume the worst outcome and work as if you can change it.

            • Telorand@reddthat.com
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              9 months ago

              To answer otherwise would be lying. “I don’t know” is the only appropriate answer when you don’t know.

              Your dislike of uncertainty is not my problem.

              • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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                9 months ago

                Its not a dislike, its a recognition that in the real world, we have to make decisions in spite of uncertainty.

                In the real world, we have to make decisions based on incomplete information all time.