• dhork@lemmy.world
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    9 months ago

    I see, you’re using “incumbent Presidents approval rating” as “the polls”. For the last few Presidential cycles, incumbents generally win reelection when their approval rating is 40% or higher, and Biden’s is cruising at around 39. But the trend doesn’t get “locked” until the Primaries are over and the conventions start. He is by no means the least popular incumbent, and Biden still has room to improve before the election.

    Despite your assertions to the contrary, I believe Biden and Blinken are both invested in finding a way out of this mess in Gaza. We gave Israel a wide berth right after Oct. 7 , but it’s been months since then and everyone’s patience with Netanyahu is wearing thin. Still, if a ceasefire can be negotiated that will help Biden. That is, if the opposition is about Gaza at all. The opposition in Michigan certainly is. But if Biden can figure out a way out your TikTok feed will find other ways to undermine your support of him.

    • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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      9 months ago

      This figure is from polling data I pulled a few hours ago:

      If the election were tomorrow, Biden loses.

      If your primary concern is beating Trump, you need a better candidate than Biden.

      • dhork@lemmy.world
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        9 months ago

        But it’s not tomorrow, and Hillary has direct knowledge of how much elections can change between March and November.

        Biden needs to improve, no doubt about it, but the answer is not to pull the eject lever. The only way Biden is leaving this race is in a hearse.

        • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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          9 months ago

          Man you sound fucking desperate. You know we don’t have to have Biden as the nominee right? We can pick some one better.