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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • Trump is plenty criticized. He’s been pilloried by the media for the past 8 years. I don’t really think this argument makes any sense. I think cognitive bias makes Biden supporters more sensitive to this criticism, just as Trump supporters falsely believe that the media has been unfair to him.

    And again, coverage about Biden “misspeaking” catches on because voters have serious concerns about his age. And because he and his advisors have deliberately attempted to hide information relating to these concerns. When the mask slips, as it did in the debate, of course it’s going to make a splash.

    Trump was smart to stay out of the way and not do anything dramatic while democrats panic. However, this shooting will likely break the old Biden media cycle, and we’ll see where it goes from here. I think the media will be happy to criticize Trump once things settle and the next topic comes down the pipeline.









  • I think there is a world of difference between a Trump presidency with a democratic house and senate and a Republican supermajority. While both of these are unlikely, how close we are to one or the other will make a big difference in how effective the fascist takeover will be.

    I personally think Trump is likely to win no matter who the candidate but having a stronger candidate will have a meaningful effect on other races that matter greatly.

    Humphrey is only a single data point. We can’t draw much of a conclusion from a single event. Maybe Humphrey lost due to the nomination process but I think it’s more likely he was just a weaker candidate. Particularly regarding his pro-Vietnam war stance which was very controversial at the time.